FBS Playoff Predictions

As of now, the Sunday before the conference championships are played, I see Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson and Washington in the FBS playoffs. I believe Alabama will be seeded #1, Clemson #2, Ohio State #3 and Washington #4.

Who’s in?

Alabama (12-0)

They are in regardless of whether they win the SEC Championship. They’re just playing for the number 1 seed in the playoff.

Ohio State (11-1)

They are in. They should be the number 2 seed in the playoff, but I think the committee will punish them for not winning their conference championship. Whether they drop to the third seed or fourth depends on how Clemson and Washington do.

Clemson (11-1)

Beat Virginia Tech and they’re probably the second seed. If Alabama slips up in the SEC Championship, they could get the number 1 seed. But if they lose to Virginia Tech, they could be knocked out of the playoffs.

Washington (11-1)

Beat Colorado and they’re in. The question is what seed the committee thinks they deserve. I’d have them as the 4th seed, but the committee may put them above Ohio State since Ohio State didn’t win their conference.

Who needs help?

I think only four other schools have a reasonable shot at the playoff. Here is how I think they get in.

Colorado (10-2)

Colorado can get in if the following happens:

  • Colorado beats Washington
  • and Clemson loses to Virginia Tech (although this might not need to happen)

Wisconsin (10-2)

Wisconsin can get in if the following happens:

  • Wisconsin beats Penn State
  • and Clemson loses to Virginia Tech
  • or Washington loses to Colorado

Penn State (10-2)

Penn State can get in if the following happens:

  • Penn State beats Wisconsin
  • and Clemson loses to Virginia Tech
  • or Washington loses to Colorado

Michigan (10-2)

Michigan gets in only if the following three things happen:

  • Clemson loses to Virginia Tech
  • Washington loses to Colorado
  • Penn State beats Wisconsin

And then its chaos! The committee would have to decide between Michigan, Clemson, Colorado, Washington and Penn State for the final two spots. At that point, I’d put Colorado and Penn State in for winning their conference championships.

Week 13 FBS Rankings

We’re heading into the conference championships next week. The playoff picture is clear as long as Clemson and Washington win their conference championships.

FBS Top 25 Rankings:

  1. Alabama (12-0, 131.967)
  2. Ohio St (11-1, 129.444)
  3. Michigan (10-2, 128.300)
  4. Clemson (11-1, 127.202)
  5. Washington (11-1, 127.139)
  6. Wisconsin (10-2, 126.746)
  7. Colorado (10-2, 126.147)
  8. Penn St (10-2, 125.908)
  9. Southern Cal (9-3, 125.288)
  10. Florida St (9-3, 124.382)
  11. LSU (7-4, 123.996)
  12. Oklahoma (9-2, 123.877)
  13. Stanford (9-3, 123.866)
  14. Western Michigan (12-0, 123.705)
  15. Auburn (8-4, 123.637)
  16. Iowa (8-4, 123.213)
  17. Nebraska (9-3, 123.198)
  18. Florida (8-3, 123.145)
  19. Washington St (8-4, 123.010)
  20. Louisville (9-3, 122.964)
  21. West Virginia (9-2, 122.944)
  22. Texas A&M (8-4, 122.570)
  23. Virginia Tech (9-3, 122.330)
  24. Tennessee (8-4, 122.245)
  25. South Florida (10-2, 122.220)

 

FBS conference rankings:

  1. SEC 121.456
  2. Pac-12 121.314
  3. Big 10 120.849
  4. ACC 120.242
  5. Big 12 118.697
  6. AAC 117.852
  7. Mountain West 115.577
  8. Sun Belt 114.285
  9. MAC 114.014
  10. Conference USA 112.706

You can find my complete rankings for all 700+ schools here.

FBS College Football Weekly Rankings

Here are my weekly FBS rankings for the week ending October 22:

  1. Alabama (8-0, 135.437)
  2. Michigan (7-0, 134.395)
  3. Clemson (7-0, 132.199)
  4. Texas A&M (6-1, 131.039)
  5. Washington (7-0, 129.760)
  6. Louisville (6-1, 128.677)
  7. Ohio St (6-1, 128.527)
  8. Auburn (5-2, 128.480)
  9. Tennessee (5-2, 127.660)
  10. West Virginia (6-0, 127.634)
  11. Colorado (6-2, 127.420)
  12. Boise St (7-0, 127.324)
  13. Wisconsin (5-2, 126.788)
  14. Penn St (5-2, 126.061)
  15. Western Michigan (8-0, 125.987)
  16. Florida St (5-2, 125.701)
  17. Florida (5-1, 125.640)
  18. Nebraska (7-0, 125.631)
  19. Washington St (5-2, 125.590)
  20. LSU (5-2, 125.554)
  21. USC (4-3, 125.362)
  22. Utah (7-1, 124.979)
  23. Baylor (6-0, 124.769)
  24. Stanford (4-3, 124.594)
  25. Arkansas (5-3, 124.497)

My complete rankings can be foundĀ here.

Here are the FBS conference rankings:

  1. SEC 123.990
  2. Pac-12 123.478
  3. ACC 121.910
  4. Big 10 120.928
  5. Big 12 120.915
  6. AAC 119.713
  7. MWC 116.769
  8. Sun Belt 115.268
  9. MAC 114.755
  10. CUSA 112.469

 

NCAA Men’s Basketball Division 1 Top 25

Here’s my end of regular season Top 25 for NCAA Men’s Division 1 Basketball:

  1. Kansas (113.768)
  2. Villanova (112.788)
  3. North Carolina (112.462)
  4. Virginia (112.458)
  5. Oklahoma (112.414)
  6. Michigan St (112.409)
  7. Oregon (112.407)
  8. Xavier (112.260)
  9. West Virginia (112.166)
  10. Miami, FL (111.911)
  11. Utah (111.670)
  12. Kentucky (111.342)
  13. Arizona (111.319)
  14. Louisville (111.121)
  15. Purdue (111.081)
  16. Texas A&M (111.076)
  17. Seton Hall (111.037)
  18. Iowa St (111.020)
  19. Duke (111.019)
  20. SMU (110.967)
  21. California (110.944)
  22. Indiana (110.890)
  23. Baylor (110.871)
  24. Texas (110.801)
  25. Maryland (110.773)

D1 College Basketball Rankings

Here are my top 25 teams for the week ending January 31, 2016:

  1. Oklahoma (18-2, 113.411)
  2. Xavier (19-2, 112.896)
  3. Villanova (18-3, 112.805)
  4. North Carolina (19-2, 112.540)
  5. SMU (19-1, 112.211)
  6. Kansas (17-4, 112.204)
  7. Iowa (17-4, 112.167)
  8. Texas A&M (18-3, 112.010)
  9. Virginia (17-4, 111.971)
  10. Maryland (19-3, 111.853)
  11. Oregon (18-4, 111.840)
  12. Iowa St (16-5, 111.829)
  13. Michigan St (19-4, 111.735)
  14. West Virginia (17-4, 111.616)
  15. Dayton (18-3, 111.494)
  16. Miami FL (16-4, 111.315)
  17. Purdue (19-4, 111.228)
  18. Baylor (17-4, 111.194)
  19. Louisville (17-4, 111.088)
  20. Providence (18-4, 110.942)
  21. Utah (17-5, 110.902)
  22. Arizona (17-5, 110.890)
  23. South Carolina (19-2, 110.788)
  24. Colorado (17-5, 110.766)
  25. Southern Cal (17-5, 110.698)

My complete rankings can be found here.

D1 College Basketball Rankings

Here are my college basketball rankings for Division 1 for the week ending January 24:

  1. Oklahoma (16-2, 113.243)
  2. Villanova (17-3, 112.762)
  3. Xavier, OH (17-2, 112.590)
  4. North Carolina (18-2, 112.416)
  5. Kansas (16-3, 112.311)
  6. Iowa (16-3, 112.250)
  7. Texas A&M (17-2, 112.211)
  8. SMU (18-1, 112.046)
  9. West Virginia (16-3, 111.770)
  10. Iowa St (15-4, 111.696)
  11. Michigan St (17-4, 111.590)
  12. Virginia (15-4, 111.437)
  13. Oregon (16-4, 111.417)
  14. Miami, FL (15-3, 111.403)
  15. Dayton (16-3, 111.287)
  16. Louisville (16-3, 111.272)
  17. Maryland (17-3, 111.264)
  18. Purdue (17-4, 111.092)
  19. Providence (17-3, 111.009)
  20. Arizona (16-4, 111.001)
  21. Baylor (15-4, 110.773)
  22. Indiana (17-3, 110.721)
  23. Pittsburgh (16-3, 110.610)
  24. Duke (15-5, 110.583)
  25. South Carolina (17-2, 110.547)

My complete rankings can be found here.

2015 College Football Final Rankings

Another season of college football has come and gone. Why does it seem to go by so fast? Alabama reclaims its throne as king of college football, winning it’s fourth national championship in the last seven years. Frank Beamer decides 29 years is enough at Virginia Tech and decides to retire. North Dakota State wins it’s fifth straight national championship in FCS.

Here is my final Top 25 in FBS:

  1. Alabama (14-1, 131.73)
  2. Clemson (14-1, 128.88)
  3. Ohio State (12-1, 128.57)
  4. Oklahoma (11-2, 127.97)
  5. Stanford (12-2, 127.02)
  6. Michigan St (12-2, 126.99)
  7. Mississippi (10-3, 126.93)
  8. Michigan (10-3, 126.42)
  9. TCU (11-2, 126.23)
  10. LSU (9-3, 126.07)
  11. Iowa (12-2, 126.06)
  12. Notre Dame (10-3, 125.70)
  13. Houston (13-1, 125.22)
  14. Tennessee (9-4, 125.21)
  15. Baylor (10-3, 124.95)
  16. Oklahoma St (10-3, 124.82)
  17. Florida (10-4, 124.71)
  18. Northwestern (10-3, 124.65)
  19. Wisconsin (10-3, 124.54)
  20. Arkansas (8-5, 124.45)
  21. Florida St (10-3, 124.45)
  22. Mississippi St (9-4, 124.22)
  23. Georgia (10-3, 124.02)
  24. Navy (11-2, 123.91)
  25. North Carolina (11-3, 123.845)

Here’s my final Top 25 in FCS:

  1. North Dakota St (13-2, 119.542)
  2. Jacksonville St (13-2, 118.316)
  3. Illinois St (10-3, 117.112)
  4. Dartmouth (9-1, 116.536)
  5. Harvard (9-1, 116.495)
  6. Northern Iowa (9-5, 116.003)
  7. Charleston Southern (10-3, 115.578)
  8. South Dakota St (8-4, 115.416)
  9. Chattanooga (9-4, 114.798)
  10. The Citadel (9-4, 114.731)
  11. Portland St (9-3, 114.666)
  12. Western Illinois (7-6, 114.226)
  13. Richmond (10-4, 114.176)
  14. McNeese St (10-1, 114.066)
  15. James Madison (9-3, 113.550)
  16. Southern Utah (8-4, 113.376)
  17. Pennsylvania (7-3, 113.309)
  18. Sam Houston St (11-4, 113.308)
  19. Montana (8-5, 113.060)
  20. William & Mary (9-4, 112.999)
  21. Coastal Carolina (9-3, 112.524)
  22. Western Carolina (7-4, 112.362)
  23. Youngstown St (5-6, 112.316)
  24. Fordham (9-3, 111.777)
  25. Villanova (6-5, 111.543)

My complete list of rankings can be found here.