FBS Playoff Predictions

As of now, the Sunday before the conference championships are played, I see Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson and Washington in the FBS playoffs. I believe Alabama will be seeded #1, Clemson #2, Ohio State #3 and Washington #4.

Who’s in?

Alabama (12-0)

They are in regardless of whether they win the SEC Championship. They’re just playing for the number 1 seed in the playoff.

Ohio State (11-1)

They are in. They should be the number 2 seed in the playoff, but I think the committee will punish them for not winning their conference championship. Whether they drop to the third seed or fourth depends on how Clemson and Washington do.

Clemson (11-1)

Beat Virginia Tech and they’re probably the second seed. If Alabama slips up in the SEC Championship, they could get the number 1 seed. But if they lose to Virginia Tech, they could be knocked out of the playoffs.

Washington (11-1)

Beat Colorado and they’re in. The question is what seed the committee thinks they deserve. I’d have them as the 4th seed, but the committee may put them above Ohio State since Ohio State didn’t win their conference.

Who needs help?

I think only four other schools have a reasonable shot at the playoff. Here is how I think they get in.

Colorado (10-2)

Colorado can get in if the following happens:

  • Colorado beats Washington
  • and Clemson loses to Virginia Tech (although this might not need to happen)

Wisconsin (10-2)

Wisconsin can get in if the following happens:

  • Wisconsin beats Penn State
  • and Clemson loses to Virginia Tech
  • or Washington loses to Colorado

Penn State (10-2)

Penn State can get in if the following happens:

  • Penn State beats Wisconsin
  • and Clemson loses to Virginia Tech
  • or Washington loses to Colorado

Michigan (10-2)

Michigan gets in only if the following three things happen:

  • Clemson loses to Virginia Tech
  • Washington loses to Colorado
  • Penn State beats Wisconsin

And then its chaos! The committee would have to decide between Michigan, Clemson, Colorado, Washington and Penn State for the final two spots. At that point, I’d put Colorado and Penn State in for winning their conference championships.

NFL Rankings Week 8

Here are my NFL rankings after Week 8:

 

Rank                                           Won  Lost  Tied    PF    PA   Rating
   1 DALLAS                                      6     1     0   188   130  104.962
   2 NEW ENGLAND                                 7     1     0   217   132  104.584
   3 MINNESOTA                                   5     2     0   139   104  103.285
   4 DENVER                                      6     2     0   194   136  103.258
   5 KANSAS CITY                                 5     2     0   166   147  103.053
   6 PHILADELPHIA                                4     3     0   179   117  102.589
   7 OAKLAND                                     6     2     0   215   203  102.409
   8 ATLANTA                                     5     3     0   262   231  102.017
   9 HOUSTON                                     5     3     0   137   167  101.989
  10 GREEN BAY                                   4     3     0   172   156  101.968
  11 PITTSBURGH                                  4     3     0   170   150  101.827
  12 NEW YORK GIANTS                             4     3     0   133   141  101.596
  13 WASHINGTON                                  4     3     1   186   189  100.967
  14 SAN DIEGO                                   3     5     0   225   212  100.320
  15 NEW ORLEANS                                 3     4     0   201   215  100.089
  16 SEATTLE                                     4     2     1   131   109  100.018
  17 DETROIT                                     4     4     0   183   190   99.996
  18 BUFFALO                                     4     4     0   212   172   99.808
  19 CINCINNATI                                  3     4     1   167   189   99.674
  20 TENNESSEE                                   4     4     0   182   183   99.257
  21 INDIANAPOLIS                                3     5     0   218   230   98.938
  22 MIAMI                                       3     4     0   146   159   98.650
  23 ARIZONA                                     3     4     1   179   140   98.533
  24 TAMPA BAY                                   3     4     0   152   189   98.077
  25 BALTIMORE                                   3     4     0   133   139   98.027
  26 CHICAGO                                     2     6     0   131   179   97.935
  27 LOS ANGELES                                 3     4     0   120   154   97.732
  28 CAROLINA                                    2     5     0   191   196   97.561
  29 NEW YORK JETS                               3     5     0   150   208   96.893
  30 JACKSONVILLE                                2     5     0   139   196   96.728
  31 SAN FRANCISCO                               1     6     0   144   219   94.555
  32 CLEVELAND                                   0     8     0   158   238   92.795

Here are my rankings for the last year:

Rank                                           Won  Lost  Tied    PF    PA   Rating
   1 KANSAS CITY                                14     3     0   426   279  104.924
   2 NEW ENGLAND                                13     6     0   478   354  103.305
   3 DENVER                                     14     6     0   448   364  103.127
   4 SEATTLE                                    11     5     1   421   286  102.305
   5 ARIZONA                                    11     6     1   446   369  102.283
   6 PITTSBURGH                                 11     6     0   459   361  102.245
   7 HOUSTON                                    11     6     0   302   305  102.147
   8 MINNESOTA                                  11     6     0   366   294  102.056
   9 CAROLINA                                   12     7     0   590   431  102.039
  10 BUFFALO                                     9     8     0   415   358  101.308
  11 DETROIT                                    10     6     0   392   345  100.806
  12 GREEN BAY                                   9     9     0   421   393  100.624
  13 WASHINGTON                                 10     7     1   444   435  100.610
  14 OAKLAND                                     9     8     0   396   429  100.367
  15 NEW YORK JETS                               9     8     0   365   383  100.252
  16 PHILADELPHIA                                8     8     0   396   410  100.144
  17 CINCINNATI                                  8     9     1   404   354   99.759
  18 DALLAS                                      8     8     0   330   333   99.694
  19 INDIANAPOLIS                                8     8     0   378   435   99.581
  20 ATLANTA                                     7     9     0   388   403   99.177
  21 NEW YORK GIANTS                             6     9     0   338   375   98.934
  22 NEW ORLEANS                                 6     9     0   396   457   98.742
  23 SAN DIEGO                                   5    11     0   354   383   98.641
  24 CHICAGO                                     6    11     0   326   380   98.181
  25 MIAMI                                       6    10     0   302   375   98.101
  26 TAMPA BAY                                   6    10     0   331   407   97.915
  27 LOS ANGELES                                 6    10     0   271   359   97.913
  28 BALTIMORE                                   6     9     0   271   326   97.625
  29 TENNESSEE                                   6    11     0   356   447   97.284
  30 JACKSONVILLE                                5    11     0   368   437   96.575
  31 SAN FRANCISCO                               4    11     0   273   399   96.435
  32 CLEVELAND                                   1    15     0   269   454   93.499

FBS College Football Weekly Rankings

Here are my weekly FBS rankings for the week ending October 22:

  1. Alabama (8-0, 135.437)
  2. Michigan (7-0, 134.395)
  3. Clemson (7-0, 132.199)
  4. Texas A&M (6-1, 131.039)
  5. Washington (7-0, 129.760)
  6. Louisville (6-1, 128.677)
  7. Ohio St (6-1, 128.527)
  8. Auburn (5-2, 128.480)
  9. Tennessee (5-2, 127.660)
  10. West Virginia (6-0, 127.634)
  11. Colorado (6-2, 127.420)
  12. Boise St (7-0, 127.324)
  13. Wisconsin (5-2, 126.788)
  14. Penn St (5-2, 126.061)
  15. Western Michigan (8-0, 125.987)
  16. Florida St (5-2, 125.701)
  17. Florida (5-1, 125.640)
  18. Nebraska (7-0, 125.631)
  19. Washington St (5-2, 125.590)
  20. LSU (5-2, 125.554)
  21. USC (4-3, 125.362)
  22. Utah (7-1, 124.979)
  23. Baylor (6-0, 124.769)
  24. Stanford (4-3, 124.594)
  25. Arkansas (5-3, 124.497)

My complete rankings can be found here.

Here are the FBS conference rankings:

  1. SEC 123.990
  2. Pac-12 123.478
  3. ACC 121.910
  4. Big 10 120.928
  5. Big 12 120.915
  6. AAC 119.713
  7. MWC 116.769
  8. Sun Belt 115.268
  9. MAC 114.755
  10. CUSA 112.469

 

FBS College Football Rankings Week 12

Another week, another shakeup. Two more teams fall from the undefeated ranks. Here’s my top 25:

  1. Alabama (10-1, 130.310)
  2. Clemson (11-0, 129.421)
  3. Oklahoma (10-1, 129.251)
  4. Iowa (11-0, 128.761)
  5. Baylor (9-1, 128.224)
  6. Notre Dame (10-1, 128.220)
  7. Oklahoma State (10-1, 127.516)
  8. Ohio State (10-1, 127.492)
  9. Florida (10-1, 127.146)
  10. Michigan (9-2, 127.083)
  11. Michigan State (10-1, 127.056)
  12. Navy (9-1, 126.758)
  13. TCU (9-2, 126.607)
  14. Ole Miss (8-3, 126.182)
  15. Northwestern (9-2, 126.157)
  16. Stanford (9-2, 125.953)
  17. North Carolina (10-1, 125.533)
  18. LSU (7-3, 125.176)
  19. Florida State (9-2, 124.882)
  20. Tennessee (7-4, 124.801)
  21. West Virginia (6-4, 124.583)
  22. Wisconsin (8-3, 124.514)
  23. Mississippi State (8-3, 124.393)
  24. Toledo (9-1, 124.392)
  25. Utah (8-3, 124.210)

You can find my complete rankings here.

There’s a new conference at the top of my conference rankings. The Big 12 sneaks past the SEC for the highest average rating.

  1. Big 12 (123.335)
  2. SEC (123.241)
  3. Big 10 (122.709)
  4. Pac-12 (121.453)
  5. ACC (121.141)
  6. AAC (118.402)
  7. MAC (115.755)
  8. Mountain West (114.411)
  9. CUSA (113.815)
  10. Sun Belt (113.764)

Introducing Jeff Self Photography

2015 has brought a lot of new resolutions and adventures for me. I am now seriously pursuing a photography career and I have hopes of doing this full-time in the near future.

I have shot a lot of high school sports this past Spring and I have now begun shooting senior portraits. I am shooting with an Olympus OM-D E-M1 and now have a full arsenal of lenses to shoot with.

So how will I make a living doing this? I’m going to try anything and everything. Hopefully, I’ll find a niche that will work for me. I plan to do family portraits, art shows, high school and college sports, concerts, real estate, events, and anything else I can think of.

My professional website has been created and I have prints available for sale right now. On this blog, I plan to post an image a day that links to images on my professional site.

So stay tuned. It’s going to be a fun ride!